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NeuroCognition Explorer

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AD Global Prevalence 60% - 70% (of dementias)
DLB & FTD Prevalence 15% DLB / 10% FTD (Early onset FTD)
Modifiable Risk Factors 45% (14 Lifestyle factors)
2024 NIA-AA Paradigm AT1T2NISV (Biological)
Module 1 Prodromal Dynamic Architecture

The Natural History & Trajectories of Mild Cognitive Impairment

This section details the transitional state between normal neurobiological aging and overt dementia. Users can explore domain-specific trajectories of cognitive decline, examine the non-linear dynamics of conversion versus reversion, and interact with predictive features including entorhinal cortex morphometry and CART decision models derived from serial measurements.

Domain-Specific Prodromal Trajectories

Mathematical Modeling

Delayed recall, working memory, and spatial memory follow a quadratic function with steep precipitous drops prior to conversion, while executive functions decline linearly.

Click dataset legend above to toggle specific cognitive domains Multi-domain Amnestic MCI = Highest AD Risk

⚡ The Reversion Phenomenon (14% - 42%)

MCI trajectory is not strictly linear. Over 18–60 months, up to 42% of community cases revert to normal. CART analysis reveals that serial testing prevents misclassifying fluctuating cases as stable.

Primary Causes of Reversion: Resolution of transient systemic illnesses, treatment of severe depressive episodes, or fluctuating cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA).
CART Accuracy: 78.6% predictive accuracy in endpoint status using longitudinal tracking.

🧠 MRI Morphometric Predictor Tool

Support vector machine (SVM) models identify key structural thresholds (86% accuracy) predicting MCI conversion to Alzheimer's Disease.

1250 mm³